Camino Energy

Camino Energy

publicly traded sustainable energy stocks

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BIOF index updated

The biofuel index has been updated to reflect the delisting of Aventine (AVR).   Great Plains Renewable Holdings (GPRE)  has been included in the index which still contains nine companies.   Additional updates may be necessary if other index constituents decline futher in market cap or file for Chapter 11 (or its equivalent).

Public corn based ethanol companies continue to shrink

A once growing group of public companies continues to shrink.  We have discontinued coverage on Aventine Renewable Enery Holdings (AVR) due to its April 8, 2009 Chapter 11 filing.  It joins Panda Ethanol which was delisted after its Hereford subsidiary filed Chapter 11 on January 23, 2009.  

After these filing there only remain five (5) publicly traded, pure-play corn ethanol companies with market cap greater than USD 10 million.  Only Great Plains Renewable (GPRE) has a market cap greater than USD 50 million.

SOLAR index updated

Camino’s Solar index has been updated effective January 30, 2009.  Two companies, aleao solar (AS1.DE) and Solar-Fabrik (SFX.F) were removed due to their market cap declining below USD 100 million.  Two companies, SMA Solar (S92.DE) and GT Solar (SOLR),  passed all of Camino’s screens and were added to the index.   The number of companies in the index remains at 31.

RELEC index updated

While 2008 reduced the number of renewable electricity companies passing Camino’s PurePlay screens, there are still sufficient companies to permit construction of a modified market cap weighted index.   Effective January 30, Plutonic Power (PCC.TO) and Novera Energy (NVE.L) were removed from the index due to their market cap falling below USD 100 million.   Two companies, Terna Energy (44T.SG) and Fersa Energia (FRS.MC) were added.   The index continues to have 20 names with a combined market cap of USD 53 billion.

Coverage extended to carbon ETF/ETN

Whether you think Cap and Trade or a Carbon Tax is the way to manage this greenhouse gas, you can invest in allowances via two vehicles.    It took forever to come to market but the AirShares ETF is now trading under the symbol ASO.   The older alternative, the iPath ETN (GRN) has been on the market since last July.   Of course, when you invest in an ETN you are buying an unsecured note of the issuer….so given recent events this might be a consideration.

In our company research section we track the four major “emission credit” companies.  We have also just added the the return computations for ASO and GRN to our comparables page.

More OTC company woes

Each update seems to highlight more OTC companies that are deliquent or have moved to the Pink Sheets.  This time Americans Wind Energy Corp. (AWNEE.OB) and XSUNX, Inc. (XSNXE.OB) are delinquent and Electro Energy, Inc. (EEEI.PK) has moved to the Pink Sheets.

More OTC news

I recently wrote that I was seeing a fair amount of deliquencies in OTB BB companies.  

Four of the companies we track have now been moved to the Pink Sheets due to deliquencies in filings before the SEC.  Pacific Fuel Cell (PFCE.PK) went to the Pink Sheets on 12/19, Intrepid Technology (ITRP.PK) a biogas company, Earth Biofuels (EBOF.PK) a biodiesel company, and Essential Innovations (ESIV.PK) a geothermal heating company all were moved to the Pink Sheets on 12/24/08.

Companies moving from the OTC BB (we now track 39) to the Pink Sheets (we now track 27) are generally exhibiting declining value.   Our average OTC BB company has a market cap of USD 24 million where the average Pink Sheet company has a market cap of USD 4 million.   Buyer beware.

Deliquent OTC Companies

I’m seeing more activity then usual in delinquent OTC Bulletin Board companies.  In Camino’s last round of updates we found that Pacific Fuel Cell (PFCEE.OB),  Interpid Technology (ITRPE.OB), and Earth Biofuels (EBOFE.OB) have all been deemed delinquent in filings by FINRA.   While these companies can become current, investors in all three companies are in danger of losing all their investment. 

For those following our FCELL and BIOFUEL indices, it’s no surprise that investors in these two sectors face huge risks.  OTC companies face even steeper hurdles in a falling energy market.

SOLAR continues to experience high volatility

The Camino solar index has fallen 5.8 % since last Friday continuing its adjustment driven by concerns about slowing market demand.   In addition to plunging 76% YTD, SOLAR is also the most volatile of the sustainable energy sectors we track and approximately twice as volatile as the S&P500: 

Examining similar data shows that Renewable Generation, Fuel Cells, and LED & Lighting may have passed their peak volatility.    Biofuels, like Solar, may not have started to decline.  

A daily volatility tool has been added to the site for subscribers to access at PurePlay Indices>Daily volatility.  Up-to-date plots can be created for the Camino Indices, broad market comparables, and selected sustainable mutual funds and ETFs.

SOLAR hits 52 week low, some stocks below book value

Equities and commodities all fell during the week ending November 14th.  US REITs were particularly hard hit (RWR -18.5%).  For a complete summary visit our returns page. 

Sustainable energy also fell sharply with only 10 companies in our indices advancing.

SOLAR has experienced continuted high volatile with a variety of downgrades occuring during the week.    On Wednesday the index hit its 52 week low and closed the week down 74.5% YTD.  

This huge adjustment has left  the market cap of our SOLAR index shrinking to USD 33.4 billion from a peak of over USD 110 billion.   Some of the US traded companies, Yingli (YGE), JA Solar (JASO), SolarFun (SOLF), Trina (TSL), and Canadian Solar (CSIQ), are trading below book value with trailing PE ratios ranging from 4.6 - 6.5. 

These price levels reflect a very negative outlook for profitabilty and growth at the companies.    The negative outlook is stemming from concerns about sales levels,  margins, and negative currency exchange movements.   

Some data is coming out allowing us to assess the current valuation levels.  In its conference call this week JA Solar (JASO) reduced its sales forecast in 2009 to between USD 1.5 - 1.7 billion and EPS to USD 0.90.   These numbers reflect a huge 75+% sales growth over expected 2008 sales of USD 849.5 - 878.9 million and a forward PE of 3.1 on Friday’s close.   Sunpower also lowered its guidance for 2008 to EPS of USD 1.68, a forward PE of 15.2 on Friday’s close.   

Mark has a long position in JASO.

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002218.SZ 0757.HK AVR BEI.AX BIOF BLDP CAO CFU.L CLE CMF.L CREE CSIQ CSUN CWR.L ECO EDPR.LS EF.TO F3C.DE FCEL GPRE HE.TO HOKU HYGS JASO LDK MCEL MDTL MKTY NBF NVE.L PLUG PNE3.DE PTX.L S2M.DE S92.F SFX.F SIT.L SOLA.L SOLF SPIR STP TRE VLR.L VSE YGE
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